High pressure, over the upper Great Lakes this morning, will slide southeastward and into the region today. Northwesterly winds will kick up through the day today along with a decent amount of sunshine. Temperatures will top out pretty close to seasonal levels.
The fair weather will be short lived though, as a fairly strong low pressure system over the central Plains makes inroads further east with time tonight and tomorrow. A slug of increased moisture will slowly work its way toward the Capital Region on Thursday, bringing another prolonged period of steady, and at times heavy, rainfall to areas that are already inundated thanks to the rains of late.
Flooding chances are increasing, especially across areas to the south and east of the immediate Capital Region, during the period Thursday morning through Friday morning. Some minor flooding may also be experienced in the Capital Region, as several streams and creeks have above average water levels and flows, and reservoirs are nearing full status in some spots. The ground is still pretty saturated, and water tables are elevated. Stay tuned to the National Weather Service, or local media outlets, for later statements on flooding potential across the entire region.
The low pressure area that is forecast to bring the additional rainfall is forecast to be over the southern New England coast on Thursday evening, and approaching the Gulf of Maine by Friday morning. Thus, conditions similar to those experienced last Friday and Saturday are expected to occur once again with this system. That being that steady rainfall should diminish to showers overnight on Thursday, and after a few residual morning showers on Friday, skies should slowly begin to brighten.
High pressure looks to build into the region for the bulk of the coming weekend. There are some indications that another weak system will attempt to approach the region late in the day on Father’s Day (Sunday), prompting a slight chance for some showers at that time. The new work week starts unsettled, but there are signs that the pattern in the upper levels of the atmosphere may be undergoing a change by the middle to later parts of next week that may bring warmer and drier weather to the area. More details on this potential is future updates!
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: Mostly sunny and breezy. High in the upper 70’s. Northwest winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts to near 25 MPH possible at times.
Tonight: Mostly clear to start with increasing clouds late at night. Low near 55. Light and variable winds.
Thursday: Increasing, thickening, and lowering clouds with periods of rain developing. Rain be heavy at times in the afternoon. High in the mid 60’s. East winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 100 percent.
Thursday Night: Periods of rain diminishing to showers after midnight. Rain may be heavy at times during the evening. Low in the mid 50’s. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 90 percent.
Friday: A chance of morning showers, otherwise gradual clearing during the afternoon, and becoming breezy. High near 70. Northwest winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts possible at times. Chance of rain in the morning is 40 percent.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and breezy. High near 75 and low near 55.
Sunday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of afternoon showers. High near 75 and low near 55.
Monday: Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 60.
Tuesday: Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 60.
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Forecast At A Glance
A look at the forecast for the week ahead. Includes forecast high and low temperatures, and general sky conditions and precipitation expected (if any).
Daily Weather Summary
This slide gives a more in depth look at the next 24 to 48 hour forecast, and includes any interesting forecast highlights. A morning satellite picture, with surface fronts and pressure systems is also included.
Three Day Dewpoint Tracker
This slide details the maximum forecast dewpoint temperatures, during the daytime hours, for the three day period beginning on the day the forecast package was issued. The comfort scale on the left side of the graph details the comfort or discomfort that may be felt as result of the amount of moisture in the air.
Albany NY Almanac
This slide lists the daily average and record high / low temperatures, precipitation, sunrise, and sunset for the current day. High and low temperatures reached the day prior are also included.
Key Hours Weather Forecast
This slide gives forecast temperatures and sky / weather conditions for the Capital Region at particular hours during the present day. The morning commute, lunch hour, and evening commute are represented.
The recreational forecast for some of the favored recreational ‘hot spots’ are given on this slide. General location, high / low temperatures, and forecast sky and precipitation conditions are given.