Low pressure to our north, over the Canadian border, will combine with a system presently moving northward through the Ohio Valley, to bring a stretch of humid, tropical like downpours to the region later today and through the overnight tonight. Some embedded thunderstorms may also occur during this period. Rainfall on the amount of 1 to 3 inches is expected by the time the event winds down early Friday morning. With the recent rains of late, and the threat of another soaking rainfall in the forecast, flooding and flash flooding will be possible across the area through the duration of the event.
No real relief from the humidity looks to be in the offing either, as the system that is forecast to bring the rainfall to the region appears to stall to our east on Friday as a large upper level low pressure system carves itself out over the Great Lakes. This low pressure area will be a menacing presence through at least midweek next week. In addition to keeping a south to southwest flow of warm and humid air over the region, this system will be responsible for sending weak disturbances our way through the entire forecast period (into next week). Thus, a modified tropical airmass, more at home in the deep south, will materialize over our region. A general forecast of partly to mostly sunny, humid, conditions with a chance for showers and thunderstorms each day appears to be the way to go for at least the foreseeable future.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
**NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 12 NOON EDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING**
Today: Intervals of clouds and hazy sunshine. Humid. Showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon, some containing torrential rainfall. High in the mid 80’s. South winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 70 percent.
Tonight: Periods of rain and thunderstorms. Rain may be heavy at times. Muggy. Low in the upper 60’s. Southeast winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 100 percent.
Friday: Periods of rain diminishing to showers early in the morning. Intervals of clouds and hazy sunshine during the afternoon with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Humid. High 80-85. Southwest winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain in the morning is 70 percent, and in the afternoon is 40 percent.
Friday Night: Variably cloudy with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the evening. Areas of patchy fog forming overnight. Muggy. Low 65-70. Light south winds. Chance of rain in the evening is 30 percent.
Saturday: Hazy sunshine, warm, and humid. A chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. High in the mid 80’s. Southwest winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 40 percent.
Sunday: Hazy and humid with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 65.
Monday: Hazy and humid with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 70.
Tuesday: Hazy and humid with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 70.
Wednesday: Hazy and humid with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 65.
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Forecast At A Glance
A look at the forecast for the week ahead. Includes forecast high and low temperatures, general sky conditions, and precipitation expected (if any).
Daily Weather Summary
This slide gives a more in depth look at the next 24 to 48 hour forecast, and includes any interesting forecast highlights. A morning satellite picture, with surface fronts and pressure systems is also included.
Three Day Dewpoint Tracker
This slide details the maximum forecast dewpoint temperatures, during the daytime hours, for the three day period beginning on the day the forecast package was issued. The comfort scale on the left side of the graph details the comfort or discomfort that may be felt as result of the amount of moisture in the air.
Key Hours Weather Forecast
This slide gives forecast temperatures and sky / weather conditions for the Capital Region at particular hours during the present day. The morning commute, lunch hour, and evening commute are represented.
Albany NY Almanac
This slide lists the daily average and record high / low temperatures, precipitation, sunrise, and sunset for the current day. High and low temperatures reached the day prior are also included.
The recreational forecast for some of the favored recreational ‘hot spots’ are given on this slide. General location, high / low temperatures, and forecast sky and precipitation conditions are given.