Some lake effect (yes, lake effect) cloud cover and scattered showers were over areas to the lee of Lake Ontario this morning, and portions of the Mohawk Valley. These clouds were the result of unseasonably chilly air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere filtering over the lake. As high pressure builds into the region through the day today, these clouds and showers should both lift and dissipate. A modest west to northwest breeze will initiate this morning, and last through the day across the region today. Areas to our west and north may see a few higher gusts at times.
High pressure crests over the region tonight, moving to our east by Wednesday. After a cool night tonight, fair conditions look to persist through the day Wednesday with high temperatures nudging up a couple degrees.
The later portion of the work week looks to become a bit unsettled. Low pressure, and it’s associated cold front, will begin to sweep eastward from the Great Lakes, toward our region, on Thursday morning. This front passes through by Thursday night, and looks to stall over the southern New England coast by Friday morning. After some rainfall Thursday afternoon and overnight, conditions should improve somewhat by Friday, however, scattered afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity cannot be ruled out thanks to the proximity of the coastal system, and another fast moving cold front approaching from the west.
The secondary cold front looks to pass through during the day on Saturday, bringing the threat for some more scattered shower and thunderstorm activity. This frontal system sweeps through by Sunday morning allowing high pressure to slowly take control by Sunday evening.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: Morning clouds giving way to a mix of sun and clouds by afternoon. High near 80. West to northwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low 55-60. Light west winds.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High near 80. Light southwest winds.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. Low 60-65. Light south winds.
Thursday: Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon. High near 80. South winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 60 percent.
Friday: Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 60.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 60.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 60.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 80 and low near 55.
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