Record breaking heat is possible across the Capital Region this afternoon. A warm front lifted north of the region overnight last night, and is allowing a brisk southwesterly breeze to blow across the area. The effect of this breeze will be to cause air to downslope off of the topography across the area, and bring high temperatures well into the 90’s across the Hudson, Mohawk, and Schoharie Valleys, as well as the Capital Region. Temperatures may even flirt with 100 degrees across portions region today (should Albany reach 100 degrees today, it would be the first time since September 3, 1953 that this has occurred, according to the National Weather Service). The record high for Albany, NY on this date is 97 degrees set back in 1904, and this record is within reach today given the conditions forecast to be in place. Heat related advisories and warnings have been issued for nearly the entire region for the afternoon and evening hours. Click here for the latest on these advisories and warnings.
An isolated afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out, and should a few be able to form, there may be some instances of strong to locally severe weather. However, this will be the exception rather than the rule. In general, hazy, hot (excessively hot in cases), and humid conditions are forecast with dry conditions expected for the bulk of the region.
After a balmy night tonight, a cold front will approach the region Saturday, driving up the chances for scattered shower and thunderstorm activity during the afternoon hours. Some of the storms that form in advance of the front are likely to be severe. The greatest threats from these storms will be the potential for strong winds and torrential rainfall.
Temperatures will slowly recede Saturday evening, and by Sunday morning a Canadian high pressure area will be in charge of the weather. The humidity levels will noticeably drop, skies will brighten, and the temperatures will be some 10 to 20 degrees lower (for high temperatures) than they have been the past week.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
**National Weather Service HEAT ADVISORY In Effect From 12 Noon EDT Friday through Friday evening**
Today: Hazy, very hot, humid, and breezy with a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Record heat is possible. High in the upper 90’s. Heat index temperatures between 100 and 105 degrees. Southwest winds 10-20 MPH. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Tonight: A slight chance of an evening shower or thunderstorm. Otherwise, hazy and humid. Low in the mid 70’s. Southwest winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Saturday: Hazy, hot, humid, and breezy with scattered showers and thunderstorm possible in the afternoon. Some of the storms may contain strong gusty winds and very heavy rainfall. High near 90. Southwest winds 10-20 MPH with higher gusts possible in the vicinity of thunderstorms. Chance of rain is 40 percent.
Saturday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorm possible during the evening. Some of the storms may contain strong winds and heavy rainfall. Otherwise, variably cloudy and becoming less humid. Low 60-65. Westerly winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain in the evening is 30 percent.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and less humid. High near 80. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 80 and low near 60.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 65.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warm with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 65.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 60.
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