In the worst possible circumstance the decision to bug out or to stay put is never an easy one, and in truth because of the unknown variables there is really no concrete answer to the problem. It’s simple enough to make a decision based on information that is available, but the real trouble comes from aspects that may develop at a later time when it is too late to enact corrective measures that have any real effect.
Example – An individual possesses everything they could possibly need to ride out an oncoming hurricane. Your ranch house is tied down tightly and the predicted storm surge and prevailing winds are such that remaining in your home is no problem. Eight hours before hitting your location the storm intensifies, winds increase by 40 miles per hour and a levy 5 miles from your home fails. The waters have risen up to your roof gutters and you have had to cut a hole in the roof itself to keep from drowning as you watch a few thousand dollars of prepping supplies float away. – OR- Local authorities have taken you and yours to an emergency shelter against your wishes and you come home (if you come home) to find there is no storm damage at all, just that everything you own of value has been vandalized.
While no one wants to leave a home that took years to get just how you like it, the decision to stay or bug out should always be based on a few simple rules:
Move Early – If you decide to bug out to another location move early and quickly. The longer you wait the more difficult and dangerous travel of any type will become – traffic jams, bad weather and societal panic can be avoided if you get moving early.
Defend Yourself – It has no bearing if you stay or go if you cannot properly defend yourself whether it be at home, on the road or at your final bug out location. This might be the most important consideration of all and it’s not just about defending yourself against other people, Mother Nature can snuff you out in a heartbeat if unprepared and apathetic.
Know Exactly What Is Waiting For You – It makes no difference if you stay put or bug out to a nearby bug out location, the place you choose had better have everything you believe it will or a big problem looms on the horizon. Your bug out location may be damaged or vandalized beyond any possible benefit and once this is realized it may be too late to alter your decision.
Assess The Members Of Your Party Realistically – Man plans, God laughs…Bugging out with your wife, three small children and Grandma and Grandpa may sound like the right option. Problem is, you have to travel 150 miles in your five year-old car through a hostile environment to get to your “secure” location. When your version of Henry Ford’s dream gives you the finger you’ll be riding the shoe leather express for oh, say the last 50 miles. No problem, Granny can hump that 60 pounds of ammunition in her pack and your seven year old should be able to tote 5 gallons of drinking water right? C’mon man, wake up.
The point of all this is that it great to have a plan A and a plan B but it’s best to have a plan entire alphabet. While it can be easy to get fixated and agonize over every decision associated with prepping, five or ten minutes spent a few times a month considering the decision to bug out or stay put won’t send you ranting to a psychiatrist – and it might just save your life.