When Barack Obama warmly embraced Mohamed Morsi (aka, Morsy) of the Muslim Brotherhood, it was unnerving. Why? The Muslim Brotherhood leans toward Islamic radicalism more so than the middle.
It wasn’t and still isn’t clear what Egyptians want from government. (List of questions about what Egyptians want)
- Do they want a democracy that is tolerant of all with a U.S. type Bill of Rights?
- Do they want a theocracy that follows a brand of Islamic code?
- Do they want a strong military-led government?
- Do the Egyptian people have the capacity for self-governance?
As it is in Egypt so it is throughout the Middle East, brands of government emerge and coalesce from their unique culture and history. Sometimes, history repeats itself because fundamental conditions don’t change and there is a propensity to make the same mistakes, over and over again.
Until the balance of consequences are driven more by incentives than by the stick, and there is clear motivation to move beyond the status quo, forces may stick to the same path to nowhere.
Look back to the article on November 25th, 2012 where trouble was reported with Obama’s Egyptian foreign policy, “Leave it up to Morsi: Israel and Hamas”
Again, there was a warning in December, “Egyptians warn U.S. about Morsi and Muslim Brotherhood.”
The point is, the National Politics Examiner, has a track record for getting it right.
“White House under fire for Egypt policy
By Julian Pecquet – 07/07/13 05:00 PM ET
The Obama administration’s shifting stance on Egypt has left the United States bereft of influence as convulsions grip the Arab world’s most populous country, according to critics. At home, Republicans have also slammed the White House strategy.”
1. Do they want a democracy that is tolerant of all with a U.S. type Bill of Rights?
If Egyptian women have their say, government may become more democratic. However, they have a cultural barrier that is rooted in Islam. Still, Egypt has been more tolerant and there is reason to believe that woman influence may persist.
2. Do they want a theocracy that follows a brand of Islamic code?
There is nothing wrong with being Muslim, but, as Americans have learned, keeping religion out of government is a necessity for democracy and equality.
3. Do they want a strong military-led government?
For now, like it or not, Egyptians are getting a military-oriented government. The reason is that the downside is to become subverted by al Qaeda and like insurgents.
4. Do the Egyptian people have the capacity for self-governance?
Egyptians have demonstrated the will for greater freedom. They are equipped with modern communications technology. There is a sufficient core of educated persons to move forward, if they can overcome obstacles.